If we contemplate broadband as a user space, predicting 2013 innovation and growth in that space, clearly becomes a wireless-mobile solution. From device proliferation across many platforms the wireless space is at the epicenter of market domination going into 2013. Many things are happening that signal significant shifts in both CAPEX and OPEX spending flow from hardware-software providers, to service providers, to consumers. As predicted the space is increasingly layered as wireless continues on a fast growth metric.
4G-LTE Upgrades will continue to Dominate Spending
As mentioned by JDSU’s Jon Pelson (Wireless Segment Leader, JDSU Communication and Test Measurement Unit) – (The Future of Mobile: The Biggest Trends for 2013), video consumption via multiple wireless devices will drive the continued upgrade to 4G-LTE in the back-haul space to give service providers the horsepower to handle extreme demand usage from mobile consumers wanting a quality experience in the download space. Not only is it the quality of that experience, but the quantity of connected devices which will demand the speed, uninterrupted traffic, and quality consumption that will drive companies like, AT&T, Verizon, and Sprint to spend the capex.
As Jon points out, monitoring the user space is critical for providers in handling demand while looking to monetize bandwidth for users wanting guaranteed and seamless connectivity to their devices. As a result service providers are eagerly looking to cap end users of bandwidth. As monetization inevitably creeps into the marketplace pricing for that bandwidth will set the benchmark for profitability of those wireless carriers. Finally, service providers are beginning to see the importance of migration to new technology models which command no short-cuts in spending to meet that demand as competition will only increase in the user space.
MBaaS as a tool to drive App Economics within the Wireless Space
Driving additional demand in the wireless user space is the explosion of app generated software in the mobile eco-system. Since the first iPhone was released back the 2007 creating a new market for mobile applications developers have rushed to fill consumer demand for free, or extremely cheap, device apps to enhance user experience. This has fueled the MBaaS market as layer within the mobile market space connecting consumers with device and cloud.
As Kii Corporation’s Miko Matsumura (Senior Vice President, Marketing & Development Relations) points out in his recent article (Shakeout in the MBaaS Mobile Backend-as-a-Service Space), many startups have emerged in the mobile backend market to handle the integration of app developer and consumer as part of the mobile layer. His predictions highlight the plight of those service providers in funding and viability in the long-haul. In essence, there looms a shake-out of providers who will run out of funding, due to a market based mostly free cloud services delivery. Some of those are turning to enterprise based revenues to off-set their business models, but many will fail.
Timing and Synchronization in 4G-LTE Networks
Another layer in the user space consists of synchronization and timing in 4G-LTE Networks. As demand continues to spiral onward in speed and quality, 4G-LTE Networks must consider the concept of macro cell migration to macro base stations. Efficiency and lower cost metrics are driving the need for more macro cells especially in high density areas of consumer consumption. To deal with the smaller cells synchronization and timing is critical in making for a quality user experience.
As Vitesse’s Martin Nuss (Vice President of Technology and Strategy and Chief Technology Officer points out (The Need for Timing Synchronization Technology for 4G-LTE Networks), T1 legacy systems are being replaced by Ethernet infrastructure as a fast and reliable alternative in feeding the growing number of cell-sites needed for consumer demand.
The small cell deployment by major service providers will only continue to grow exponentially which will not be connected directly to backhaul fiber networks. This creates the dilemma of providing astute timing and synchronization of these small cell sites attached to building or lamp-posts to feed increasing demand in urban settings. As the sites overlap others in coverage syncing become imperative as microwave or millimeter wave will be used to transmit signals to the backhaul site. Vitesse offers technology that supports the needed timing and synchronization for those networks.
Broadband continues its convergence path marrying mobile, wireless, cable, and telecom markets into one continuous space. Mobile continues to fuel the consumer space and will out-pace even the most generous predictions of growth. Competition will continue to evolve with new entrants and eminent departures from the space.
Image via dailywireless.org